Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Happy New Year

Hope everybody has a safe and enjoyable new year. As per usual, wifey and I are staying home. The in-laws will be on a plane having spent a few days with us (which was great) and we generally can't stand the whole "let's go out and overpay for a terrible night" thing any more.

Took down sixth in the $33 PLO last night. Would have been better if villain hadn't hit a two-outer on the river. Sick.



Granted I was fairly behind preflop:

Omaha Hi: 500000 sampled boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ks Kd Jd Td 190542 38.11 309458 61.89 0 0.00 0.381
As 4c 4d Ah 309458 61.89 190542 38.11 0 0.00 0.619

But after the flop and turn...

Omaha Hi: 40 enumerated boards containing Qs 3c Jh Th
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ks Kd Jd Td 32 80.00 8 20.00 0 0.00 0.800
As 4c 4d Ah 8 20.00 32 80.00 0 0.00 0.200

Bummer. At least I'm one better than my usual finish!

EDIT: I'm dumb, he had more than two outs. Any queen (3), any three (3) and any of the two remaining fours (2) = 8 outs.

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